Fixed network data traffic: worldwide trends and forecasts 2022–2028

20 March 2023 | Research

Rupert Wood

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (10 slides); Excel | Fixed Broadband Services| Fibre Infrastructure Strategies


"The metaverse is the main uncertainty facing future volumes of fixed traffic, but projections tend to be dominated by parties that want to use it to advance strategic aims in the value chain."

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Fixed data traffic accounts for 85% of data traffic on telecoms networks and the rate of growth has slowed significantly as video saturates. The metaverse will be a major uncertainty, but the last mile is not going to be the principal bottleneck for any surge in traffic.

This report provides:

  • 5-year forecasts of fixed data traffic for 8 global regions and 19 selected countries
  • analysis of the key trends in, and drivers and inhibitors of, data traffic.

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Geographical coverage

The report provides forecasts for the following eight geographical regions.

  • Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)
  • Developed Asia–Pacific (DVAP)
  • Emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP)
 
  • Latin America (LATAM)
  • Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
  • North America (NA)
 
  • Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)
  • Western Europe (WE)

The report provides forecasts for the following 19 countries.

  • Australia
  • China
  • France
  • Finland
  • Germany
  • India
  • Indonesia
 
  • Italy
  • Japan
  • New Zealand
  • Poland
  • Saudi Arabia
  • South Africa
 
  • South Korea
  • Spain
  • Turkey
  • UK
  • USA

Key metrics

  • Overall national and per broadband (BB) subscriber data, year total and year end
  • Internet, managed IP, multicast data
  • Next-generation access (NGA) and non-NGA split
  • Median usage
 
  • Fixed–mobile traffic ratios
  • Asymmetry ratios
  • Internet bandwidth per subscriber, average and busy hour

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