Revenue is forecast to grow at a 5% CAGR during 2007–2012, and to reach USD2.3 trillion at the end of the forecast period. Mobile services account for more than 40% of revenue, and will be the primary driver of growth. Mobile voice service revenue is forecast to grow at a 4% CAGR, while mobile data service revenue is expected to grow five times faster, at a 20% CAGR. Residential broadband revenue will continue to show double-digit growth, at 13%. Business service revenue will grow at a slightly lower rate than overall revenue growth rates, at 5%. PSTN revenue will decline at a –8% CAGR.
The mature markets of North America, Western Europe and developed Asia–Pacific accounted for 70% of revenue in 2007, but will have the lowest growth rates during the forecast period, with CAGRs of 5%, 3% and 3%, respectively. Emerging markets are forecast to show higher rates of revenue growth; the highest growth rates will occur in the Middle East, at a 9% CAGR, and emerging Asia–Pacific, at 8%. Revenue in Central and Latin America, as well as Africa, will grow at a 7% CAGR, while Eastern Europe's CAGR will be 6%.
This 145-page report provides a detailed five-year forecast for CSPs in five service areas:
- mobile voice
- mobile data
- residential broadband
- business services
- PSTN.
Global forecasts are broken down into the following regions:
- North America
- Central and Latin America
- Western Europe
- Eastern Europe
- the Middle East
- Africa
- developed Asia–Pacific
- emerging Asia-Pacific.
The report includes leading CSPs' market shares worldwide and by region. It also provides analysis of the market drivers and inhibitors for growth in all regions, as well as a discussion of the factors within the business environment that will impact CSP revenue growth across all regions.
The report addresses the following key issues:
- the importance of content-based services to CSP revenue growth
- the challenges facing CSPs that operate in emerging markets
- the impact of the potential slowdown in the global economy
- the need for CSPs to develop new business models and partner with third parties
- the role vendors play in enabling CSPs to overcome their challenges.
The report's appendix includes financial and operational data for more than 100 CSPs that generate annual revenue of USD1 billion or more. This information is presented on a global as well as a regional basis. The appendix also includes market share information by service and subscriber type on a regional basis.
