Fibre conversion: worldwide trends and forecasts 2024–2030

23 April 2025 | Research

Rupert Wood | Stephen Burton

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (28 slides); Excel | Fixed Services| Fibre Infrastructure


"Over half the premises in the world will have an active FTTP connection by 2030."

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This report provides an analysis and forecast of gigabit conversion rates (the number of premises with active connections as a percentage of premises passed) worldwide during 2024–2030. It covers advanced markets as well as those markets just embarking on the journey to modern fixed networks.

Metrics covered in this report

  • Conversion rates 
  • Connection numbers

Conversion rates are split by architecture/technology

  • FTTP (split by incumbent and alternative operator)
  • Cable DOCSIS
  • FTTB/LAN

Geographical coverage

The report and accompanying data annex provide forecasts for 9 regions (plus the EU27) and 70 individual countries.

Region Countries

Western Europe 

Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and UK

Central and Eastern Europe

Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey and Ukraine

EU27 countries 

Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain and Sweden (data for the Republic of Cyprus, Luxembourg and Malta is rounded up)

Middle East and North Africa

Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Kuwait, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and UAE

Sub-Saharan Africa

Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa

China

China

Emerging
Asia–Pacific (excluding China)

India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam

Developed
Asia–Pacific

Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan

North America

Canada and USA

Latin America

Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Uruguay

USD8799

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Authors

Rupert Wood

Research Director, expert in infrastructure, fixed networks and wholesale