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Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2019–2024

14 January 2020 | Research

Alex Boisot Francesco Paolo Bellomo Yushan Chen Karim Yaici

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (44 slides); Excel | The Middle East and Africa


"The telecoms revenue in Sub-Saharan Africa will continue to grow strongly during the forecast period, driven predominantly by a rapid expansion in mobile data consumption."

The number of internet users in Sub-Saharan Africa will grow rapidly during the forecast period thanks to the strong take-up of 3G and 4G mobile data services. The fixed broadband market will remain small in absolute terms, but it will grow strongly in urban areas thanks to an increase in the size of the middle-class population and expanded infrastructure coverage.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of more than 180 mobile and fixed KPIs for SSA, as a whole and for 11 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile and fixed operators.

Coverage

Geographical coverage

 

Key performance indicators

Regions modelled

  • Sub-Saharan Africa

 

Countries modelled individually

  • Cameroon
  • Côte d’Ivoire
  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria
  • Rwanda
  • South Africa
  • Sudan
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda
  • Zambia
 

Connections

Mobile

  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone

 

Fixed

  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, 5G, other

 

Voice traffic

Fixed and mobile

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU
 

Revenue

Mobile

  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

 

Fixed

  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, business services
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

 

ARPU

Mobile

  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data

 

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