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FTTx coverage and capex: worldwide trends and forecasts 2019–2025

11 March 2020 | Research

Stephen Wilson

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (17 slides); Excel | Operator Investment Strategies


"We forecast that the percentage of global premises covered by next-generation access will rise from 55.2% at the end of 2019 to 65% at the end of 2025."

The business case for investment in FTTP access networks has become clearer in both emerging and developed markets. FTTP roll-outs will drive up global next-generation access (NGA) coverage from 55% at the of end 2019 to 65% at the end of 2025.

This report provides:

  • 7-year forecasts for flavours of FTTx and cable (DOCSIS3.0/3.1) coverage in 8 regions and 64 individual markets
  • analysis of the key trends, drivers and inhibitors of network roll-out of FTTx
  • an assessment of the level of capital expenditure to 2025.

Key questions answered in this report

  • How quickly will next-generation access (NGA) coverage grow across different global regions and individual markets?
  • Which markets represent the most-promising opportunities for vendors in terms of NGA coverage expansion?
  • To what extent can NGA coverage grow in emerging markets across the globe?
  • What will be the scale of roll-outs from non-incumbent FTTP operators?
  • What are the coverage levels of Gigabit-capable broadband?

KEY METRICS

  • Coverage (premises passed)
  • Capex (network and connection)
  • Split by architecture/technology:
    • FTTC/VDSL or G.fast, FTTB/VDSL or G.fast, FTTB/LAN
    • FTTP (split by incumbent and alternative operator)
    • Cable DOCSIS3.0 or 3.1 (note: capex is not provided for cable DOCSIS3.0 or 3.1).

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE

The report and accompanying data annex provide forecasts for 8 regions and 64 individual countries.

RegionCountries

Western Europe

Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK.

Central and Eastern Europe

Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine.

Middle East and North Africa

Israel, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa.

Emerging
Asia–Pacific

China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam.

Developed
Asia–Pacific

Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan.

North America

Canada, USA.

Latin America

Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay.

USD 7999

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