FTTx conversion: worldwide trends and forecasts 2023–2029

08 March 2024 | Research

Rupert Wood

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (30 slides); Excel | Fixed Broadband Services| Fibre Infrastructure Strategies

"Although the demand for FTTP (service penetration of unique premises passed) looks strong in most regions, individual network operators are uncertain about how an acceptable conversion rate can be achieved."


This report provides an analysis and forecast of FTTx conversion rates (premises with active connections as a percentage of premises passed) worldwide during 2023–2029. It covers advanced markets as well as those markets just embarking on the journey to modern fixed networks.

Key metrics covered in this report

  • Conversion rates 
  • Connection numbers
  • Connection rate of premises passed

Conversion rates split by architecture/technology

  • FTTx/xDSL
  • FTTP (split by incumbent and alternative operator)
  • Cable DOCSIS

Geographical coverage

The report and accompanying data annex provide forecasts for 9 regions and 70 individual countries.

Region Countries

Western Europe 

Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and UK

Central and Eastern Europe

Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey and Ukraine

EU27 countries 

Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain and Sweden (data for the Republic of Cyprus, Luxembourg and Malta is rounded up)

Middle East and North Africa

Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Kuwait, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and UAE

Sub-Saharan Africa

Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa



Asia–Pacific (excluding China)

India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam


Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan

North America

Canada and USA

Latin America

Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Uruguay


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Rupert Wood

Research Director