FTTx conversion: worldwide trends and forecasts 2020–2026

24 March 2021 | Research

Stephen Wilson

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (17 slides); Excel | Fixed Broadband Services| Fibre Infrastructure Strategies

"We forecast that by the end of 2026 there will be almost 1 billion FTTP subscribers worldwide, which represents almost 40% of all global premises."


FTTP take-up rates worldwide will not change significantly between the end of 2020 and the end of 2026. However, this conceals a complex set of regional trends. This report analyses and forecasts conversion rates (premises with active connections as a percentage of premises passed) for FTTx architecture and technologies during 2020–2026.

Key metrics covered in this report

  • Conversion rates (that is, premises with active connections as a percentage of premises passed)
  • Connection numbers
  • Connection rate of premises passed.

Conversion rates split by architecture/technology

  • FTTC/VDSL or G.fast, FTTB/VDSL or G.fast, FTTB/LAN
  • FTTP (split by incumbent and alternative operator)
  • Cable DOCSIS3.0 or 3.1

Geographical coverage

The report and accompanying data annex provide forecasts for 8 regions and 64 individual countries.

Region Countries

Western Europe

Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the UK

Central and Eastern Europe

Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey and Ukraine

Middle East and North Africa

Israel, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and UAE

Sub-Saharan Africa

Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa


China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam.


Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan.

North America

Canada and the USA.

Latin America

Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Uruguay.

USD 7999

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