FTTx coverage and capex: worldwide trends and forecasts 2020–2026

24 March 2021 | Research

Stephen Wilson

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (17 slides); Excel | Fibre Infrastructure Strategies


"There is still huge potential for incumbents and non-incumbents to increase FTTP coverage in emerging markets."

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The business case for investment in FTTP access networks has become clearer in emerging and developed markets. We forecast that FTTP coverage worldwide will increase from 43% at the end of 2020 to 57% at the end of 2026.

This report provides:

  • 7-year forecasts for flavours of FTTx and cable (DOCSIS3.0/3.1) coverage in 8 regions and 65 countries
  • analysis of the key trends, drivers and inhibitors of network roll-out of FTTx
  • an assessment of the level of capital expenditure to 2026.

Key questions answered in this report

  • How quickly will FTTP coverage increase in different regions and countries?
  • Which countries represent the most-promising opportunities for vendors in terms of FTTP coverage expansion?
  • To what extent can FTTP coverage grow in emerging markets?
  • What will be the scale of roll-outs from non-incumbent FTTP operators?
  • What are the coverage levels of Gigabit-capable broadband?

Key metrics

  • Coverage (premises passed)
  • Capex (network and connection)
  • Split by architecture/technology:
    • FTTC/VDSL or G.fast, FTTB/VDSL or G.fast, FTTB/LAN
    • FTTP (split by incumbent and alternative operator)
    • Cable DOCSIS3.0 or 3.1 (note: capex is not provided for cable DOCSIS3.0 or 3.1).

Geographical coverage

The report and accompanying data annex provide forecasts for 8 regions and 65 individual countries.

Region Countries

Western Europe

Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK

Central and Eastern Europe

Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine

Middle East and North Africa

Egypt, Israel, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE

Sub-Saharan Africa

Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa

Emerging
Asia–Pacific

China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam

Developed
Asia–Pacific

Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan

North America

Canada, USA

Latin America

Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay

USD7999

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