Germany: pay-TV and streaming video forecast 2024–2030

06 August 2025 | Research

Dongye Liu

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (4 slides); Excel | Video, Gaming and Entertainment


"By 2030, operator IP-based services will constitute 66% of total RGUs, a substantial increase from 44% in 2025."

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The German pay-TV market is shifting to IP-based services. Operators that were traditionally reliant on cable and satellite technology are increasingly leaning towards IP. Throughout the forecast period, streaming video will significantly outpace the pay-TV market in RGUs. Its adoption continues to grow, driven by ad-supported tiers. 

This report provides detailed 5-year forecasts for the adoption of pay-TV and streaming video services in Germany. It includes data on key metrics, describes key market developments and analyses operators’ strategies.

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Geographical coverage and key metrics

Geographical coverage

 

Key metrics

Country modelled:

  • Germany

Companies discussed in this report

  • Amazon
  • Disney+
  • HD+
  • Joyn
  • Netflix
  • RTL+
  • Sky Deutschland 
  • Telecolumbus
  • Telekom
  • Vodafone
  • Wow
  • 1&1

 

  • Revenue generating units (RGUs)
  • Retail revenue (spend)
  • Average retail revenue per RGU (ARPU)

Pay TV is split by the following access technologies:

  • cable (CATV)
  • pay digital terrestrial TV (DTT)
  • satellite (DTH)
  • operator streaming video
  • third-party 

Streaming video is split as follows

  • RGU and households
  • Retail revenue
    • operator direct-to-consumer (D2C)
    • third-party via operator sales channels
    • third-party D2C
  • Ad-tier or full-price tier

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Author

Dongye Liu

Research Analyst