Satellite 5G and next-generation networks: trends and forecasts 2023–2033

23 August 2024 | Research

Luke Wyles | Lluc Palerm

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (20 slides); Excel; CSV | Satellite–Telecoms Integration


"5G via satellite represents a cumulative capacity and equipment revenue opportunity of USD57 billion between 2023 and 2033."

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This report assesses the scope of next-generation satellite communications (satcom) networks and forecasts the adoption of 5G in satcom.

The analysis reflects the evolving trend of telecoms operators (telcos) integrating satellite technology into their networks, and the report provides details of emerging technologies and business models that industry players need to employ to stay competitive.

Report coverage

  • Exploration of technological and business trends that are shaping the design and functionality of next-generation satcom networks. 
  • A 10-year demand forecast for 5G satcom, projecting multiple variables across different use cases, regions, orbits and frequency bands.
  • This forecast considers broadband satcom services that are using the 5G waveform, or those that are serving 5G mobile networks in the case of the backhaul and trunking segments.
  • Recommendations for satellite and telecoms players to navigate and harness a technological transformation in the satcom industry.

Report segmentation

Variable
  • 5G in-service units 
  • 5G capacity demand
  • 5G capacity revenue
  • 5G shipments
  • 5G equipment revenue 
  • 5G penetration of broadband satcom units
Application or use case
  • Cellular backhaul 
  • Trunking
  • Corporate networks
  • Aeronautical connectivity
  • Maritime
  • Land mobile
  • Government/military
Frequency band
  • FSS: C/Ku/Ka/X-band
  • GEO HTS: C/Ku/Ka-band
  • Non-GEO HTS
Geographical regions
  • Asia
  • Europe (EU)
  • Latin America (LAM)
  • Middle East and Africa (MEA)
  • North America (NAM)

Questions answered

  • At what rate will 3GPP’s non-terrestrial network (NTN) standards be adopted in the satellite ecosystem between 2023 and 2033?
  • How can standardisation unlock new customers, applications and business models for satellite and telecoms players?
  • Which applications, regions and technologies will support and benefit from satcom adoption of 5G?
  • How will GEO and non-GEO players vary in their adoption of 5G?
  • How will adoption timelines vary across regions and verticals?

Who should read this report

  • Satellite operators 
  • Satellite service providers
  • Telecoms operators
  • Satellite manufacturers
  • Satellite and telco equipment vendors
  • Hardware/software integrators

Companies mentioned

3rd Generation Partnership Project (3GPP), Accelercom, Amazon Kuiper, Amdocs, Capgemini, Digital Intermediate Frequency Initiative (DIFI), Eutelsat, Intelsat, Lockheed Martin, NTT, Netcracker, Metro Ethernet Forum (MEF), Radisys, SpaceX Starlink, SES, Telesat, TM Forum, Viasat, WAVE Consortium

 

USD6995

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Authors

Luke Wyles

Analyst

Lluc Palerm

Research Director, space and satellite, expert in satellite strategies for telcos