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Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2020–2025

27 October 2020 | Research

Stefano Porto Bonacci Qingyi Liang Yushan Chen Francesco Paolo Bellomo Polytimos Kontos

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (59 slides); Excel | The Middle East and Africa

"Consumers' increasing desire to be online and the growing use of OTT services will drive the data revenue growth in SSA."


Mobile network operators' (MNOs') network expansions and upgrades to 4G, combined with the growing availability of affordable devices, will result in a rising take-up of mobile data plans and increasing mobile data consumption. Operators will primarily opt to use fixed-wireless access (FWA) solutions to provide fixed broadband services; FTTP/B will only be found in selected urban areas in the wealthiest countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of more than 180 mobile and fixed KPIs for SSA, as a whole and for 11 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.


Geographical coverage


Key performance indicators

Regions modelled

  • Sub-Saharan Africa


Countries modelled individually

  • Cameroon
  • Côte d’Ivoire
  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria
  • Rwanda
  • South Africa
  • Sudan
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda
  • Zambia



  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone


  • Voice, broadband
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, FWA, 5G, other

Pay TV


Fixed and mobile

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Mobile data traffic




  • Service, retail, wholesale
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G


  • Service, retail, wholesale
  • Voice, broadband, dedicated connections
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, FWA, 5G, other

ICT services

Pay TV


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