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Western Europe telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2020–2025

01 December 2020 | Research

Julia Martusewicz-Kulinska Francesco Paolo Bellomo Alex Boisot Rémy Giraud Polytimos Kontos Qingyi Liang

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (79 slides); Excel | European Core Forecasts


"Telecoms will be less affected by the COVID-19 pandemic than many other segments of the economy, but lockdown measures and economic uncertainties (including Brexit) will affect household spending in the coming years."

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The trend for moderate total service revenue growth in Western Europe (WE) has been disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. The increase in the number of fixed–mobile convergence (FMC) offers in markets that are not yet saturated will also lead to a decrease in telecoms revenue growth. However, this will largely be offset by the migration of mobile subscribers towards contract plans, the growing number of broadband users and increasing pay-TV revenue.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of around 350 mobile and fixed KPIs for Western Europe, as a whole and for 16 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Coverage

Geographical coverage

 

Key performance indicators

Region modelled

  • Western Europe (WE)

 

Countries modelled individually

  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Denmark
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Netherlands
  • Norway
  • Portugal
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Switzerland
  • UK

 

 

Connections

Mobile

  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone,
    non-smartphone

Fixed

  • Voice, broadband
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, FWA, 5G, other

Pay TV

Traffic

Fixed and mobile

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Mobile data traffic

 

Revenue/ARPU/ASPU

Mobile

  • Service, retail, wholesale
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G

Fixed

  • Service, retail, wholesale
  • Voice, broadband, dedicated connections
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, FWA, 5G, other

ICT services

Pay TV

 

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