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Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2017–2022

09 November 2017

Karim Yaici

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (35 slides); Excel


This report analyses the most important trends that are affecting fixed and mobile telecoms services in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and examines the impact that these trends will have during the next 5 years. The increased availability of low-cost smartphones and improved coverage of 3G and 4G networks are helping to drive the demand for data connectivity and the take-up of digital services. Investment in fixed–wireless and fibre technologies will also help to drive the adoption of fixed broadband in the region. 

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of more than 180 mobile and fixed KPIs for SSA, as a whole and for 11 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile and fixed operators.

Coverage

Geographical coverage

 

Key performance indicators

Regions modelled

  • Sub-Saharan Africa

 

Countries modelled individually

  • Cameroon
  • Côte d’Ivoire
  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria
  • Rwanda
  • South Africa
  • Sudan
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda
  • Zambia

 

Countries not modelled individually, but modelled as part of the region as a whole

  • Angola
  • Benin
  • Botswana
  • Burkina Faso
  • Burundi
  • Cape Verde
  • Central African Republic
  • Chad
  • Comoros
  • Congo (Brazzaville)
  • Democratic Republic of Congo
  • Djibouti
  • Equatorial Guinea
  • Eritrea
  • Ethiopia
  • Gabon
  • Gambia
  • Guinea
  • Guinea-Bissau
  • Lesotho
  • Liberia
  • Madagascar
  • Malawi
  • Mali
  • Mauritania
  • Mauritius
  • Mayotte
  • Mozambique
  • Namibia
  • Niger
  • Réunion
  • São Tomé and Principe
  • Senegal
  • Seychelles
  • Sierra Leone
  • Somalia
  • Saint Helena
  • South Sudan
  • Swaziland
  • Togo
 

Connections

Mobile

  • Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone,
    non-smartphone

 

Fixed

  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, 5G, other

 

Fixed and mobile voice traffic

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU
 

Revenue

Mobile

  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

 

Fixed

  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, business services
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

 

Mobile ARPU

  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data

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