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Mobile services in Sub-Saharan Africa: trends and forecasts 2017–2022

Stefano Porto Bonacci Research Analyst

"Mobile data services will drive telecoms revenue growth in the region, but mobile voice revenue will continue to dominate."

This report analyses the most important trends and drivers that are affecting mobile telecoms services in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and examines the impact that these trends will have during the next 5 years. It includes country views for Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa, Tanzania and Uganda.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of mobile KPIs for SSA and for six key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile operators.

Geographical coverage

Countries modelled individually

  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria
  • South Africa
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda

Data coverage 

Mobile connections


  • Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone

Mobile revenue


  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

Mobile ARPU


  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data

Voice traffic


  • Outgoing minutes, MoU