China telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2023–2028

14 March 2024 | Research

Erik Ottosson

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (4 slides) | Asia–Pacific


"Total mobile and fixed retail revenue will grow at a CAGR of 1.9% between 2022 and 2028 to reach CNY2.0 trillion."

APAC_map_735x70.jpg

Analysys Mason provides detailed 5-year forecasts of the telecoms market in emerging Asia–Pacific. This report focuses on operators’ core telecoms services in China.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of mobile and fixed KPIs for China
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics
  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Landing_page_735_wide.png

Geographical coverage

Region modelled

 

Country modelled individually

Emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP)

 
  • China

 

Key performance indicators

Connections

  • Mobile:
    • total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT
    • handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
    • mobile broadband
    • total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
    • business, residential
    • total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
    • IoT
    • penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Fixed:
    • voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
    • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, gigabit-capable connections
    • business, residential
    • dedicated connections
    • penetration (business sites and households): voice, broadband (ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, other technologies)
  • Pay TV
    • operator, traditional
    • business, residential

 

Traffic

  • Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
  • Cellular data and messaging traffic

 

Network-independent metrics

  • GDP
  • Population
  • Households
  • Business sites
  • Exchange rates
 

Service revenue

  • Mobile:
    • total
    • share of GDP
    • per capita per month
    • residential, business
    • prepaid, contract, prepaid share
    • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • Fixed:
    • total (retail plus wholesale)
    • share of GDP
    • per capita per month

 

Retail revenue

  • Mobile:
    • total
    • share of GDP
    • per capita per month
    • business, residential
    • per GB
    • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
    • voice, voice per minute
    • data, data per GB 
    • handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
    • mobile broadband
    • IoT connectivity
  • Fixed:
    • total
    • share of GDP
    • per capita per month
    • business, residential
    • voice: narrowband, VoBB
    • dedicated connections
    • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, as a share of fixed retail revenue
  • ICT services
  • Pay TV
    • operator, traditional
    • business, residential

 

Wholesale revenue

  • Mobile
  • Fixed

 

ASPU

  • Mobile:
    • total
    • voice
    • data
    • mobile broadband
    • IoT
    • handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data
    • business, residential
  • Fixed:
    • voice
    • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies
    • business, residential

 

ARPU

  • Mobile:
    • total
    • prepaid, contract
    • business, residential
    • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G

Click below to take you to the latest dataset if you are logged in and it is part of your subscription. The DataHub interface will only show you the data to which you are subscribed.

Launch DataHub

USD4999

Log in

Log in to check if this content is included in your content subscription.

Asia–Pacific country forecasts

Analysys Mason's Asia–Pacific research programme provides detailed 5-year forecasts of the fixed and mobile telecoms markets for 14 key countries in the developed world, and two major regions: Developed Asia–Pacific and Emerging Asia–Pacific.

Read more