Update 13 July 2023

ACTUALS

This update includes core historical data for all non-European countries to 1Q 2023. This completes the full data set for 1Q 2023.

FORECASTS

The fixed–mobile convergence (FMC) forecast has been refreshed to account for new historical data.

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Update 3 July 2023

ACTUALS

This update includes core historical data for Central and Eastern Europe to 1Q 2023.

Update 23 June 2023

ACTUALS

This update includes core historical data for Western Europe to 1Q 2023.

FORECASTS

We have completed a full update of the Middle East and North Africa core forecasts, based on historical data to 4Q 2022. The business, communications services and worldwide core forecasts have been refreshed to align with this new data.

The wireless data traffic forecasts have also been fully refreshed. We have consolidated the list of countries modelled individually, while still providing full regional and worldwide coverage. Full coverage details can be found in the ‘List of metrics’ download, available in the ‘About the DataHub’ menu in the application. The core forecasts for all regions have been amended to include new cellular data traffic figures drawn from the wireless data traffic forecasts.

Update 26 May 2023

ACTUALS

This update contains Financial KPI data for 1Q 2023 for all regions.

FORECASTS

We have made some minor revisions to the Latin America core forecast and some very small adjustments to the business forecast metrics in some regions.

EXCHANGE RATES

We have revised the exchange rate data that underpins all monetary values in the DataHub. The 2022 exchange rate figures are now based on actual numbers rather than forecasts, and all exchange rates for future years have been reforecast. We are now using 2022 as the base year for constant currencies (USD 2022 and EUR 2022). Full details of our exchange rate methodology can be found in the exchange rate download file and on-screen help text.

All forecasts have been rebased to the new currency, which will result in some metrics showing different monetary values. For most forecasts, we conduct the modelling in local currencies, so the differences will be visible only in the common currency (USD or EUR) numbers and, in particular, the regional totals (because these are necessarily shown in common currency). For the small number of forecasts that we model in common currencies (for example, IoT), the local currency values will change from 2022 onwards.

Update 11 May 2023

ACTUALS

This update completes the set of historical 4Q 2022 data, with the addition of core data for the remaining non-European countries, plus the fixed-mobile convergence (FMC) historical dataset.

FORECASTS

This update also includes some minor revisions to the fixed–mobile convergence (FMC) forecast, IoT, core and business forecasts.

Update 20 April 2023

ACTUALS

This update includes core historical data for Central and Eastern Europe to 4Q 2022, and additional countries from other regions. (Full version history is available for each country in the list of metrics download available from the ‘About the DataHub’ menu.)

FORECASTS

This update includes revisions to the fixed–mobile convergence (FMC) forecast for 18 countries and core and business forecasts for Latin America. The person-to-person (P2P) communications forecasts and worldwide totals have also been refreshed to incorporate these new elements.

Update 5 April 2023

ACTUALS

This update includes financial KPI data for all regions, and also core historical data for Western Europe to 4Q 2022.

NEW! We now include an additional 18 financial KPI metrics for Western European operators. Each of the following metrics is shown for an operator’s mobile, fixed or integrated operations, according to the way they report. Like other financial KPIs, this data is collected on an ‘as reported’ basis.

  • EBIT
  • profit
  • profit – percentage
  • depreciation and amortisation (D&A)
  • D&A – percentage of revenue
  • capex – percentage of D&A.

Full definitions can be found in the DataHub behind the (?) icons.

FORECASTS 

This update includes revisions to the business forecasts for the Middle East and North Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa. Core forecasts and worldwide totals have also been refreshed to incorporate these new elements. It also includes a revision to the fixed data traffic forecasts for all 39 geographies covered.

Please note that we have removed individual country data on Sudan and Zimbabwe from the DataHub. Forecast results for these countries are included in the Sub-Saharan Africa regional totals.

Update 3 March 2023

FORECASTS

This update includes the following revisions to the forecasts data sets.

    • Core forecasts: full update for Sub-Saharan Africa; business elements updated for North America.
    • Business forecasts: full update for North America; alignment with core forecasts for Sub-Saharan Africa.
    • Worldwide totals, and the Communications services forecasts have also been refreshed to incorporate these new elements.

Please note that we no longer model the Sudanese market individually within the Sub-Saharan Africa forecasts, but the results for that country are included in the regional totals.

Update 16 February 2023

ACTUALS

This version of the DataHub completes recent historical updates, providing data up to 3Q 2022 for all countries and metric sets.

FORECASTS

This update includes the following revisions to the forecasts data sets.

  • Core and business forecasts: full updates for Western Europe and emerging Asia–Pacific.
  • Worldwide totals, and the Communications services forecasts have also been refreshed to incorporate these new elements.

Update 31 January 2023

ACTUALS

This update includes new historical data up to 3Q 2022 for 32 European countries.

FORECASTS

This update includes the following revisions to the forecasts data sets.

  • Business forecasts: full updates for the Middle East and North Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa. Core forecasts have been aligned with this research.

Update 21 December 2022

ACTUALS

This update includes new financial KPI data for up to 3Q 2022 for all regions.

FORECASTS

  • IoT forecasts: full update for all geographies; these changes are also reflected in the core forecasts and business forecasts.
  • Communications services A2P forecasts: full update for all 56 geographies.
  • Business forecasts: full update for Central and Eastern Europe and developed Asia–Pacific; core forecasts have been aligned with this research.
  • Core forecasts: full update for Central and Eastern Europe.

SOCIOECONOMIC DATA

We have also updated our GDP and population figures in both the ACTUALS and FORECASTS portals following the publication of new forecasts from the IMF and United Nations, respectively. Please see the metrics definitions for the full source attributions.

Update 3 November 2022

ACTUALS

This update includes core historical data for all countries in Africa, Asia–Pacific, Latin America and the Middle East, and the updated fixed–mobile convergence data set for 2Q 2022, which completes the full historical data set to 2Q 2022.

Update 5 October 2022

ACTUALS

This update includes core historical data to 2Q 2022 for Canada, the USA and all countries in Western Europe.

Update 26 September 2022

ACTUALS

This update includes the 2Q 2022 financial KPI data for all geographies, as well as the core historical data to 2Q 2022 for all Central and Eastern European countries. We have also improved and refreshed the 1Q 2022 data for approximately 18 non-European countries.

FORECASTS

The forecasts for developed Asia–Pacific have been fully updated based on data to 1Q 2022, and some minor improvements have been made to our recently published core forecasts for the Middle East and North Africa.

The business services and communications services forecasts have been refreshed to align with the new core forecasts. Global numbers have also been updated to reflect these changes.

Update 5 August 2022

ACTUALS

This update completes the set of historical data to 1Q 2022 for all geographies.

FORECASTS

Core forecasts have been fully updated for:

  • Middle East and North Africa (to 4Q 2021)
  • North America (to 1Q 2022).

The business services and communications services forecasts have been refreshed to align with the new core forecasts. Global numbers have also been updated to reflect these changes.

Update 14 July 2022

ACTUALS

This update includes historical data to 1Q 2022 for all European countries and Japan. New, recently reported financial KPI data has also been added for Brazil, Canada and Ukraine.

Update 20 June 2022

ACTUALS

This update includes financial KPI data to 1Q 2022, and core historical data for the USA and Canada for 1Q 2022. 

FORECASTS

We have made partial updates to the following core forecasts, taking into account 2021 full-year market data:

  • Western Europe: Austria, Belgium, Greece, Ireland, Spain, Sweden, UK and the regional total
  • Developed Asia–Pacific: Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the regional total
  • Emerging Asia–Pacific: China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Vietnam and the regional total
  • Sub-Saharan Africa: Nigeria, Zambia and the regional total.

These new results are also reflected in revised operator business services forecasts, and communications services forecasts, and all worldwide figures have been updated accordingly.

Update 12 May 2022

ACTUALS

This completes the update of the core historical data to 4Q 2021 for all regions.

FORECASTS

IoT forecasts

We have revised our IoT forecasts for Nigeria and a handful of other countries worldwide in the light of new data. These results are mirrored in the core and operator business services forecasts, and worldwide figures have been updated accordingly.

EXCHANGE RATES

We have revised the exchange rate data that underpins all monetary values in the DataHub. The 2021 exchange rate figures are now based on actual numbers rather than forecasts, and all exchange rates for future years have been reforecast. We are now using 2021 as the base year for constant currencies (USD 2021 and EUR 2021). Full details of our exchange rate methodology can be found in the exchange rate download file and on-screen help text.

All forecasts have been rebased to the new currency, which will result in some metrics showing different monetary values. For most forecasts, we conduct the modelling in local currencies, so the differences will be visible in the common currency numbers, and the regional totals in particular (because these are necessarily shown in common currency: EUR or USD). For the small number of forecasts that we model in common currencies (for example, IoT), the local currency values will change from 2021 onwards.

Update 25 April 2022

ACTUALS

This update includes core historical data to 4Q 2021 for Western Europe, Central and Eastern Europe and North America, along with financial KPI data to 4Q 2021 for all regions.

We have expanded our mobile market datasets for Belgium and the Netherlands to explicitly report MVNO revenue and the number of MVNO subscribers.

FORECASTS

Fixed–mobile convergence forecasts

This update includes a new set of fixed–mobile convergence (FMC) forecasts. We have extended the footprint of these forecasts to include Canada, Norway and the USA (now a total of 19 countries).

Core forecasts

We have updated the fixed broadband elements of the core forecasts for all regions. In addition, we have added new market information to the core forecasts for Ireland, Myanmar and Nigeria. The worldwide core forecasts have been updated accordingly, along with the communications services forecasts. 

Operator business forecasts

We have completely refreshed the operator business forecasts for Latin America, and have added Chile as a fully modelled country. Furthermore, fixed broadband elements have been amended in all regions in line with the core forecasts.

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