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FTTx conversion: worldwide trends and forecasts 2018–2025

Stephen Wilson Principal Analyst, Research

"The subscriber conversion rate for premises passed worldwide by next-generation access will increase from 69% at the end of 2018 to 78% at the end of 2025."

Operators that are investing in next-generation access (NGA) networks need to understand what rate of take-up they can realistically expect to achieve. Not all investments will pay off, but Analysys Mason takes a generally positive view of robust growth in overall NGA conversion rates worldwide.

This report analyses and forecasts conversion (premises with active connections as a percentage of premises passed) for FTTx architecture and technologies during 2018–2025.

Key metrics covered in this report

  • Conversion rates (that is, premises with active connections as a percentage of premises passed)
  • Connection numbers
  • Connection rate of premises passed

Split by architecture/technology:

  • FTTC/VDSL or
  • FTTB/VDSL or
  • FTTP (split by incumbent and alternative operator)
  • Cable DOCSIS3.0 or 3.1

Geographical coverage

The report and accompanying data annex provide forecasts for 8 regions and 64 individual countries.


Western Europe

Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK.

Central and Eastern Europe

Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine.

Middle East and North Africa

Israel, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa.


China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam.


Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan.

North America

Canada, USA.

Latin America

Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay.