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FTTx conversion: worldwide trends and forecasts 2019–2025

Stephen Wilson Principal Analyst, Research

"Cable broadband players are already under pressure in many European countries and the competitive threat posed by alternative technologies is set to grow."

There is still great potential to increase the number of NGA subscribers. We expect that the total number of FTTP subscribers worldwide will increase by 45% between the end of 2019 and the end of 2025, which particularly reflects robust growth in emerging markets.

This report analyses and forecasts conversion (premises with active connections as a percentage of premises passed) for FTTx architecture and technologies during 2019–2025.

Key metrics covered in this report

  • Conversion rates (that is, premises with active connections as a percentage of premises passed)
  • Connection numbers
  • Connection rate of premises passed

Split by architecture/technology:

  • FTTC/VDSL or G.fast
  • FTTB/VDSL or G.fast
  • FTTB/LAN
  • FTTP (split by incumbent and alternative operator)
  • Cable DOCSIS3.0 or 3.1

Geographical coverage

The report and accompanying data annex provide forecasts for 8 regions and 64 individual countries.

RegionCountries

Western Europe

Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK.

Central and Eastern Europe

Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine.

Middle East and North Africa

Israel, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa.

Emerging
Asia–Pacific

China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam.

Developed
Asia–Pacific

Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan.

North America

Canada, USA.

Latin America

Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay.