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Mobile services in Sub-Saharan Africa: trends and forecasts 2019–2024

Polytimos Kontos Research Analyst
Karim Yaici Senior Analyst, Research

"Mobile services will continue to generate the vast majority of telecoms revenue in Sub-Saharan Africa, and will account for 86.6% of the total telecoms service revenue in the region in 2024."

We expect that mobile retail revenue will continue to increase in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) over the next 5 years, and will reach USD40.3 billion in 2024 amid regulatory and macroeconomic challenges. This report examines key trends and drivers and provides comprehensive mobile telecoms market forecasts for the SSA region.

This report provides:

  • commentary and trend analysis to support our 5-year forecast for Sub-Saharan Africa
  • worldwide context, regional analysis and commentary
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile operators.

Geographical coverage

Countries modelled individually

  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria
  • South Africa
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda

Data coverage 

Mobile connections


  • Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone

Mobile revenue


  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

Mobile ARPU


  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data

Voice traffic


  • Outgoing minutes, MoU