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Sub-Saharan Africa telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2019–2024

William Nagy Research Analyst
Polytimos Kontos Research Analyst
Karim Yaici Senior Analyst, Research

"Digital services will play a key role in driving the growth in non-messaging and non-voice revenue in Sub-Saharan Africa as consumers look to operators for their financial services."

Data revenue will be an increasingly important component of the overall mobile retail revenue in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Revenue growth will be driven by the higher demand for digital and internet services, greater access to smartphones, improved 3G service quality and coverage, expanding 4G coverage, better-value data offers and limited fixed broadband infrastructure.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of more than 180 mobile and fixed KPIs for SSA, as a whole and for 11 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile and fixed operators.

Coverage

Geographical coverage

 

Key performance indicators

Regions modelled

  • Sub-Saharan Africa

 

Countries modelled individually

  • Cameroon
  • Côte d’Ivoire
  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria
  • Rwanda
  • South Africa
  • Sudan
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda
  • Zambia
 

Connections

Mobile

  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone

 

Fixed

  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, 5G, other

 

Voice traffic

Fixed and mobile

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU
 

Revenue

Mobile

  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

 

Fixed

  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, business services
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

 

ARPU

Mobile

  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data