Fixed network data traffic: worldwide trends and forecasts 2023–2029

24 June 2024 | Research

Grace Langham

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (9 slides); Excel | Fixed Services| Fibre Infrastructure


"The impact of AI on traffic is unknown; we suspect it will increase user engagement of applications, but we believe it is unlikely to significantly boost traffic intensity on the access network."

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Fixed data traffic accounts for 84% of data traffic on telecoms networks, a share that will remain relatively stable during the forecast period. Even if new devices and applications engender a reacceleration of traffic, fixed traffic growth will be accommodated within the ample capacity already created.

This report provides:

  • 5-year forecasts of fixed data traffic for 8 global regions and 19 selected countries
  • analysis of the key trends in, and drivers and inhibitors of, data traffic.

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Geographical coverage

The report provides forecasts for the following eight geographical regions.

  • Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)
  • Developed Asia–Pacific (DVAP)
  • Emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP)
 
  • Latin America (LATAM)
  • Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
  • North America (NA)
 
  • Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)
  • Western Europe (WE)

The report provides forecasts for the following 19 countries.

  • Australia
  • China
  • France
  • Finland
  • Germany
  • India
  • Indonesia
 
  • Italy
  • Japan
  • New Zealand
  • Poland
  • Saudi Arabia
  • South Africa
 
  • South Korea
  • Spain
  • Turkey
  • UK
  • USA

Key metrics

  • Overall national and per broadband (BB) subscriber data, year total and year end
  • Internet, managed IP, multicast data
  • Next-generation access (NGA) and non-NGA split
  • Median usage
 
  • Fixed–mobile traffic ratios
  • Asymmetry ratios
  • Internet bandwidth per subscriber, average and busy hour

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