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Fixed network data traffic: worldwide trends and forecasts 2017–2023

Rupert Wood Research Director
Simon Lumb Research Analyst

"Substitution is a renewed threat, so bandwidth-hogging services are the fixed operator's best friends."

Mobile networks command a miniscule share of data traffic worldwide, but commercial pressures are pushing mobile network operators (MNOs) inexorably towards an unlimited or nearly unlimited model. Fixed operators have depended on their capacity advantage to ward off any threat of substitution. Therefore, a strong understanding of the dominant trends in fixed-line data traffic is essential for fixed-line defensive and mobile-aggressive strategies.

This report provides:

  • 5-year forecasts of fixed data traffic for 8 global regions and 26 selected countries
  • analysis of the key trends in, and drivers and inhibitors of, data traffic
  • discussion of the commercial trends in TV that drive linear video online.

Geographical coverage

The report provides forecasts for the following eight geographical regions.

  • Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)
  • Developed Asia–Pacific (DVAP)
  • Emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP)
  • Latin America (LATAM)
  • Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
  • North America (NA)
  • Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)
  • Western Europe (WE)

The report provides forecasts for the Nordic region and the following 25 countries.

  • Australia
  • Brazil
  • China
  • France
  • Germany
  • Hong Kong
  • India
  • Indonesia
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Japan
  • Malaysia
  • Oman
  • Poland
  • Qatar
  • Romania
  • Russia
  • Saudi Arabia
  • South Africa
  • South Korea
  • Spain
  • Turkey
  • UAE
  • UK
  • USA

Key metrics

  • Overall national and per broadband (BB) subscriber data, year total and year end
  • Internet, managed IP, multicast data
  • Next-generation access (NGA) and non-NGA split
  • Median usage
  • Fixed–mobile traffic ratios
  • Asymmetry ratios
  • Internet bandwidth per subscriber, average and busy hour
  • Global split by device (TV, smartphone, PC/other).