Sub-Saharan Africa: telecoms market forecasts 2025–2030

12 May 2026 | Research and Insights

George Meyerowitz | Stephen Day

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF | Middle East and Africa Metrics and Forecasts


"Telecoms service revenue growth will be driven by rising spend on data as services improve and become more affordable."

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This report provides a detailed 5-year forecast of the telecoms market in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). It includes discussions on the main drivers of revenue growth across the region, as well as forecasts for individual countries.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of around 200 mobile and fixed KPIs for SSA, as a whole and for 10 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

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Geographical coverage

Region modelled

 

Countries modelled individually

SSA

 
  • Cameroon
  • Côte d’Ivoire
  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria
  • Rwanda
  • South Africa
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda
  • Zambia

Key performance indicators

Connections

  • Mobile:
    • handset, mobile broadband, IoT
    • prepaid, contract
    • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
    • total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
    • smartphone, non-smartphone
  • Fixed:
    • voice, broadband
    • narrowband voice, VoBB
    • DSL, fibre broadband, cable broadband, FWA, 5G, satellite and other
  • Pay TV

 

Traffic

  • Outgoing voice minutes, MoU
  • Mobile data traffic
 

Revenue/ARPU/ASPU

  • Mobile:
    • service, retail, wholesale
    • handset, mobile broadband, IoT
    • handset voice, messaging data
    • prepaid, contract
    • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Fixed:
    • service, retail, wholesale
    • voice, broadband, dedicated connections
    • DSL, fibre broadband, cable broadband, FWA, 5G, satellite and other

 

ICT services

Pay-TV

Value-added services

Equipment

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Authors

Stephen Day

Analyst