Fibre conversion: worldwide trends and forecasts 2025–2031

11 May 2026 | Research and Insights

Simon Sherrington | Rupert Wood

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF; Excel | Fixed Services| Fibre Infrastructure


"Over half of all premises worldwide will have an FTTP subscription by 2031."

fibre_lines_735x70.jpg

This report provides an analysis and forecast of gigabit conversion rates (the number of premises with active connections as a percentage of premises passed) worldwide during 2025–2031. It covers advanced markets as well as markets just embarking on the journey to modern fixed networks.

Metrics covered in this report

  • Conversion rates 
  • Connection numbers

Conversion rates split by architecture/technology

  • FTTP (split by incumbent and alternative operator)
  • Cable DOCSIS
  • FTTB/LAN

Geographical coverage

The report and accompanying data annex provide forecasts for 9 regions (plus the EU27) and 70 individual countries.

Region Countries

Western Europe 

Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and UK

Central and Eastern Europe

Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey and Ukraine

EU27 countries 

Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain and Sweden (data for the Republic of Cyprus, Luxembourg and Malta is rounded up)

Middle East and North Africa

Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Kuwait, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and UAE

Sub-Saharan Africa

Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa

China

China

Emerging
Asia–Pacific (excluding China)

India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam

Developed
Asia–Pacific

Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan

North America

Canada and USA

Latin America

Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Uruguay

USD8799

Log in

Log in to check if this content is included in your content subscription.

Authors

Simon Sherrington

Research Director, expert in fibre infrastructure and sustainability

Rupert Wood

Research Director, expert in infrastructure, fixed networks and wholesale