Starlink Broadband constellation: 5-year outlook

21 September 2026 | Research

Luke Wyles

Case study | PDF and PPTX | Satellite Broadband| Satellite Capacity


"In the next 5 years, Starlink’s broadband network capacity will grow by 6 times, and the cost of capacity will fall by over 50%."

This report provides a case study of SpaceX’s Starlink Broadband megaconstellation. The report assesses the low-Earth-orbit (LEO) network’s competitive position in the fixed broadband markets: consumer broadband, enterprise VSAT, and wireless backhaul and trunking. SpaceX is already the leading player for residential satellite broadband and plans significant network upgrades using the Starship launch vehicle.

Analysys Mason also projects the trajectory for Starlink’s capacity supply over the next 5 years across 3 scenarios of Starship availability. We provide implications for players in the wider satellite and telecoms industry considering the present capabilities of the network, as well as the near-future picture.

Questions answered in this report

  • How is SpaceX’s Starlink network positioned to compete across different satellite broadband markets?
  • How are Starlink’s strategy and services differentiated from competitors in the satellite industry?
  • How does Starlink’s go-to-market strategy differ across use cases and regional markets, in terms of service plans and ARPU variation?
  • What is the expected impact on the Starlink constellation from launching V3 satellites on Starship, in terms of capacity and cost? How sensitive is the Starlink network trajectory to different success scenarios for Starship?

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Author

Luke Wyles

Analyst, expert in space and satellite